Mon | May 25, 2020

GM strike estimated at US$1b and counting

Published:Wednesday | October 2, 2019 | 12:27 AM
In this Monday, September 30, 2019 photo, United Auto Workers members picket during a strike at General Motors’ Orion assembly plant in Orion Township, Michigan.
In this Monday, September 30, 2019 photo, United Auto Workers members picket during a strike at General Motors’ Orion assembly plant in Orion Township, Michigan.

The 16-day strike by auto workers has cost General Motors, GM, about US$1 billion according to at least one estimate, while a parts shortage forced the company to close pickup truck and transmission plants in Mexico.

Spokesman Dan Flores confirmed that production at the factories in Silao, Mexico, ended on Tuesday morning, affecting 6,000 workers.

The strike has cost GM just over US$1 billion thus far, JP Morgan analyst Ryan Brinkman estimated Tuesday in a note to investors.

On Tuesday, it appeared that both sides were apart on an agreement that could end the strike by 49,000 workers, which has halted GM’s United States-based factories since September 16. A top UAW negotiator wrote in a letter to local union leaders that a contract proposal from the company fell short of union demands.

Vice-President Terry Dittes says in the letter that the proposal made Monday night was lacking on wages, healthcare, use of temporary workers, job security and other items. He wrote that the company wanted the union to make concessions.

Dittes wrote that the union responded on Tuesday with a counterproposal and is awaiting a reply.

GM wouldn’t comment specifically on the negotiations, issuing a statement similar to one that it has sent out through the strike.

“We continue to negotiate and exchange proposals, and remain committed to reaching an agreement that builds a stronger future for our employees and our company,” the statement said.

The Mexican plant shutdowns mean that GM has lost any new supplies of its light-duty Chevrolet Silverado, the company’s top-selling US vehicle. Earlier, GM had to close a Mexican engine plant and an assembly plant in Canada due to the strike.

The strike by more than 49,000 union workers is now in its third week, and both sides are feeling the impact. Workers are having to get by on US$250 per week in strike pay instead of their normal base pay of about US$1,200 per week.

WEEKLY LOSSES

GM’s losses are mounting each week the strike continues, costing about US$480 million in the first week and another US$575 million in the second, JP Morgan’s Brinkman wrote. The company is losing US$82 million per day, he calculated.

GM books revenue from building vehicles as soon as they change hands from the factory to the company that ships them to dealers. So revenue has been counted already for nearly all vehicles that are in dealer hands. Many dealers stocked up before the strike and report having plenty of inventory.

The Silao plant shutdown puts more pressure on GM to bring an end to the strike, but it has to balance the short-term losses against extra costs that could come from settling the strike, said Kristin Dziczek, vice-president of the Center for Automotive Research, an industry think tank in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Brinkman wrote that GM could recover some of its lost profits by increasing production in the fourth quarter once the strike comes to an end. But the company will likely be limited to add production of vehicles that already are in high demand or where new models are being launched, such as GM’s heavy-duty Chevy Silverado or GMC Sierra pickup trucks, Brinkman wrote.

GM’s pickup truck and large SUV plants were already working six or seven days per week to meet demand before the strike, so increasing production will be difficult.

AP