Fri | Aug 18, 2017

Study forecasts violent future for Trinidad, Jamaica if there is no serious policy shift

Published:Monday | May 16, 2016 | 5:16 PM
The Commmonwealth Secretariat says the report was motivated by the need to urgently arrest the current negative developments in the Caribbean and transform the region.

Sherine Williams, Gleaner Writer

A report by the London-based Commonwealth Secretariat says if no serious policy changes are implemented, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago could see a drastic hike in murder rates by the year 2050.

The report titled,  'Achieving a Resilient Future for Small States: Caribbean 2050' examined current policies and trends in seven Caribbean countries, namely Bahamas, Barbados, Jamaica, St Lucia, Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago and Guyana.

It says based on current trends, without significant changes to address youth unemployment and cut crime,  Jamaica and Trinidad could see over 100 murders for every 100,000 persons in each country.

The researchers also concluded that based on a similar development path throughout the Caribbean, other Caribbean countries are likely to see a spike in their murder rate by 2050, although their increase is projected to be far less than the rate projected for Trinidad and Jamaica.

The report says a hike in crime rate will drastically affect the productivity, tourism and the social fabric of the smallest nations in the Caribbean.

It also says if Caribbean countries continue on their current development path, they will face unmanageable debt, poor growth, and greater socio-economic problems by 2050.

The report was released at the recently concluded Fourth Global Biennial Conference on Small States in Seychelles.

The Commonwealth Secretariat says the report was motivated by the need to urgently arrest the current negative developments in the Caribbean and transform the region.