American-bred BIGBROWNGREYHOPE should give players of the Sunrise-6 a lot to cheer about after tomorrow’s 11:30 a.m. opening race on Guineas Day 2017 at Caymanas Park.
The seven-old son of 2008 Kentucky Derby winner Big Brown has been under a cloud for the past nine months after winning his fifth race on June 29 last year, but now appears ready to give those chasing the whopping $1.6 million carryover a perfect start.
His last win came over tomorrow’s distance, 1300 metres, clocking a very good 1:20.3. That victory came in the rating group above and nothing in this line up can match that sort of time. The gelding’s fitness is now not in doubt as he has been exercising regularly for well over a month. In his last run over 1600 metres in the $450,000 claiming, he was prominent for a long time before weakening late and placing fourth by seven lengths behind Unbreakable. With the reliable Robert Halledeen on board, he should make no mistake over his favourite distance.
The second is a knotty 1200 metres for maidens. LAWS OF THE CODE disappointed over the distance as the even-money favourite last time after putting in two impressive efforts in February and March. He cannot be trusted, and a better bet is UNCLE FREDDIE, who has finished behind three Classic contenders (Don Chassis, Loose Cannon, Balazo) in his three starts, and with this field more manageable, could go all the way.
LUCKY STROKE should provide all the answers for Race 3, division two of the second race. He ended head-on with 2000 Guineas contender Market Force at exercise on Wednesday (1:32.3 over 1400m), and that is good enough to beat this field.
Race 4 is an early Easter gift for REIGN OVER ALL and former champion jockey Dane Nelson. He was beaten a short head by Supreme Magic on March 4, and the latter went up in class to destroy a $250,000 field by four lengths on March 29.
LEEKOUT has been knocking at the door for some time and it should fly wide open in Race 5. His 1:15.1 for 1200 metres (March 25) makes him almost a second better than anything else in this field. He should not be a maiden after tomorrow, if he gets a clear passage.
SUNDANCE is obviously below his best but cannot help defeating his weak rivals in the sixth race. He clocked 1:01.3 over 1000 metres round last time and in this milder pace in the lowest claiming group ($180,000), it should be a post-to-post win for the Gary Griffiths-trained four-year-old gelding.
2. UNCLE FREDDIE
3. LUCKY STROKE
4. REIGN OVER ALL