Tide shifts to Obama in tight, pivotal states

Published: Sunday | September 23, 2012 Comments 0
President Barack Obama greets people during a campaign stop at Florida Institute of Technology's Charles and Ruth Clemente Center in Melbourne, Florida, earlier this month.-AP
President Barack Obama greets people during a campaign stop at Florida Institute of Technology's Charles and Ruth Clemente Center in Melbourne, Florida, earlier this month.-AP

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP):In a presidential race seemingly frozen in place for months, the advantage has shifted towards President Barack Obama after a series of miscues by Mitt Romney, punctuated by the Republican challenger's comments about people who pay no income tax.

Despite a continuing grey economic sky and unrest in the Mideast, the president has edged ahead of Romney in polls in some of the most competitive states, including Iowa and Virginia, and forced Romney to redouble efforts in Florida and Ohio, without which he has little chance of becoming president.

With about six weeks left before election day and early voting under way in some states, Romney faces a problematic map, a ticking clock and a campaign demeanour that has failed to click with many voters.

Obama's momentum did not come overnight. It built over several weeks in which Romney hit some potholes while the president made few errors and benefited from previously unseen advantages in advertising strategy and fund-raising.

MOMENTUM COULD CHANGE

Weeks of campaigning remain, and the three debates, starting October 3, are the kind of events that could change the momentum again.

But the race has bent toward Obama at a pivotal moment, according to public and internal campaign polls as well as interviews with leading Democratic and Republican strategists in the most closely contested states.

"Months of paid media about Romney not caring about people, being out of touch ... it came into complete focus with Romney making the case against himself," Democratic strategist Tad Devine, a top aide to past Democratic nominees Al Gore and John Kerry, said about a video that surfaced last week of Romney speaking at a private fund-raiser in May.

The polls show trouble rising for Romney almost everywhere he looks. He has fallen dangerously behind in Virginia and Ohio, and his ability to close in on Obama in Iowa and Wisconsin is now in doubt.

The polls suggest that Romney must do more than inch his way up in a handful of states. He must win overwhelming shares of undecided voters, maximise his supporters turnout, and suppress Obama's turnout where he can.

"I'd be worried if the election were held today," said Ohio Republican Chairman Rob Bennett.

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