WEEKLY CARICOM STOCK REPORT November 5-9, 2012

Published: Thursday | November 15, 2012 Comments 0

Caribbean stocks were dragged down by losses on financial stocks and ended the week of November 9, 2012 in negative territory.

In a week of very light trading, 7,075,268 shares valued at $1,092,267 crossed the floors of the six stock exchanges across CARICOM, with 34 stocks advancing, 43 declining and 47 remaining unchanged.

Lime Jamaica was the volume leader with 1,111,781 shares being traded. Palace Amusement posted the largest gain for the week (19.92 per cent), while on the losing end Ciboney fell 23.68 per cent.

For the week, 14 of the CSX 30 stocks advanced, 10 declined and six were unchanged. The CSX 30 lost 3.74 points to close the week at 1,406.44, up 6.95 per cent year to date.

In the CSX 30 there were gains for Mayberry (5.26 per cent), Desnoes & Geddes (3.67 per cent), Careeras (3.07 per cent), Finance Corporation Bahamas (1.92 per cent) and Scotia Group Jamaica (1.62 per cent).

On the negative side, Lime Jamaica fell 13.77 per cent, Carib Cement 13.24 per cent, Lascelles 4.95 per cent, Bank of Trade & Industry 3.76 per cent, National Enterprises 2.92 per cent, Grace Kennedy 2.12 per cent, Banks DIH 2.02 per cent and NCB Jamaica 1.11 per cent.

The Junior Market ended the week in negative territory with five stocks advancing and seven declining. The CJSX lost 17.96 points to close the week at 1,531.72, down 15.70 per cent for the year. Caribbean Producers gained 2.69 per cent, but there were losses for Lasco Financial (8.12 per cent), Honey Bun (7.13 per cent) and Lasco Distributors (4.28 per cent).

Table 1: Broad Market Indices November 5-9, 2012


Index

Change

Year To
Date

Volatility

Return per
Unit of Risk

Caribbean AllShare Index CASX

1,718.44

-0.10%

-4.27%

0.05%

-86.04

Caribbean Select Index CSX 30

1,406.44

-0.27%

6.95%

0.28%

25.20

Caribbean Junior Share Index CJSX

1,531.72

-1.16%

-15.70%

0.83%

-18.93

S&P 500 Index (USA)

1,379.85

0.17%

9.72%

0.80%

12.22

FTSE 100 Index (UK)

5,769.70

-0.11%

3.54%

0.95%

3.75

Crude Oil

$85.8286.12

-0.03%

Gold 100 OZ Futures

$1,725.90

1.78%

Table 2: Sector Indices November 5-9, 2012


Index

Change

Year to
Date

Volatility

Return per Unit of Risk

Caribbean Banking Index (CBSX)

1,322.6

-0.05%

5.42%

0.44%

12.35

Caribbean Conglomerate Index (CCSX)

1,197.8

-0.50%

0.26%

0.61%

0.43

Caribbean Communications and Utilities Index (CCUX)

1,126.8

-0.14%

1.75%

0.22%

7.97

Caribbean Insurance and Investments Index (CIIX)

1,122.4

-1.49%

-4.19%

0.55%

-7.68

Caribbean Manufacturing Index (CMSX)

1,438.5

-0.07%

11.35%

0.36%

31.47

Caribbean Retail and Distribution Index (CRDX)

1,167.8

1.39%

-2.19%

0.83%

-2.64

Caribbean Tourism and Real Estate Index (CTRX)

1,519.5

-0.07%

-5.04%

0.05%

-104.73

Stocks On The Move

Tables three and four provide some widely used financial metrics on the biggest movers for the week. Readers should note that prices are in US dollars.

Table 3: Advancing Stocks: November 5-9, 2012


EXCH

Index

Close

30 Day Moving Average

Volume
For Week

Return
For
Week

Year to
Date

Volatility

Palace Amusements

JSE

CRDX

$0.6580

$0.6216

700

19.92%

13.97%

1.95%

Mayberry

JSE

CIIX

$0.0219

$0.0211

381,800

5.26%

-41.73%

2.69%

Berger Jamaica

JSE

CMSX

$0.0295

$0.0283

174,041

5.01%

-20.16%

2.00%

Seprod

JSE

CMSX

$0.1755

$0.1755

4,000

4.09%

-32.52%

2.71%

Desnoe & Geddes

JSE

CMSX

$0.0515

$0.0523

942,342

3.67%

-12.99%

3.85%

Carreras

JSE

CCSX

$0.6253

$0.6194

107,252

3.07%

-11.97%

1.82%

Caribbean Producers

JSE

CJSX

$0.0247

$0.0242

324,489

2.69%

-23.68%

2.53%

Finance Corporation

BISX

CBSX

$5.3000

$5.2833

1,000

1.92%

17.78%

1.31%

4.33%

-0.09

Table 4: Declining Stocks: November 5-9, 2012


Exch

Index

Close

30 Day Moving Average

Volume
For Week

Return
For week

Year to
Date

Volatility

Ciboney

JSE

CTRX

$0.0008

$0.0008

23,600

-23.68%

32.96%

10.14%

Hardware & Lumber

JSE

CRDX

$0.0329

$0.0347

8,799

-14.35%

-51.71%

2.00%

Bico

BSE

CMSX

$0.7882

$0.8095

499

-13.98%

-13.98%

0.93%

CW Jamaica

JSE

CCUX

$0.0021

$0.0023

1,111,781

-13.77%

-0.20%

4.83%

Carib Cement

JSE

CMSX

$0.0099

$0.0105

197,874

-13.24%

-69.26%

4.01%

Lasco Financial

JSE

CJSX

$0.0521

$0.0540

76,041

-8.12%

-27.71%

2.94%

Honey Bun

JSE

CJSX

$0.0345

$0.0368

180,995

-7.13%

-45.61%

2.70%

Trinidad Cement

TTSE

CMSX

$0.2556

$0.2577

21,165

-5.97%

-8.19%

1.71%

Investing School (Investing Principles)

1. Prepare for the situation to proceed faster than you thinkMost deteriorating businesses will do so faster than you anticipate. Be very wary of value traps, or companies that look cheap but are generating little or no economic value. On the other hand, strong businesses with solid competitive advantages will often exceed your expectations. Have a very wide margin of safety with a troubled business, but do not be afraid to have a much smaller margin of safety for a wonderful business with a shareholder-friendly management team.

2. Expect surprises to repeatThe first big positive surprise from a company is unlikely to be the last. Ditto the first big negative surprise. Remember the "cockroach theory." Namely, the first cockroach you see is probably not the only one around; there are likely scores more that you can't see.

3. Don't be stubbornDavid St. Hubbins memorably said in the movie This is Spinal Tap, "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever." In investing, the line between being patient and being stubborn is even finer, unfortunately. Patience comes from watching companies rather than stock prices, and letting your investment theses play out. If a stock you recently bought has fallen but nothing has changed with the company, patience will likely pay off. However, if you find yourself constantly discounting bad news or downplaying the importance of deteriorating financials, you might be crossing that fine line into stubborn territory. Being stubborn in investing can be expensive. Always ask yourself, "What is this business worth now? If I didn't already own it, would I buy it today?" Honestly and correctly answering these questions will not only help you be patient when patience is needed, but it will also greatly help you with your selling decisions.

Investment and Wealth Management Unit, Department of Management Studies, UWI Cave Hill. Please send queries and comments to Justin.Robinson@Cavehill.uwi.edu

Share |

The comments on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of The Gleaner.
The Gleaner reserves the right not to publish comments that may be deemed libelous, derogatory or indecent. Please keep comments short and precise. A maximum of 8 sentences should be the target. Longer responses/comments should be sent to "Letters of the Editor" using the feedback form provided.
blog comments powered by Disqus

Top Jobs

View all Jobs

Videos