Sun | Mar 29, 2015

Remittances underpin Carribbean economic well-being

Published:Sunday | June 30, 2013

David Jessop, Contributor

Remittances continue to play a central role in the lives of many families in the Caribbean. Although they help support national economies and provide governments in almost all of the region with additional foreign exchange, their fundamental role has been to offset the worst for the poorest, and enable recipients, in most cases, to be able to live a better life.

A recent report published earlier this year by the Multilateral Investment Fund (MIF), a part of the Inter-American Development Bank, makes clear just how important these flows are for the Caribbean and Latin America.

According to the figures, which appear in Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2012: Differing Behavior among Sub-regions, remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) showed a slight overall increase in 2012 in relation to the previous year, totalling US$61.3 billion. This amount, the MIF reported, represented a 0.6 per cent increase over 2011.

The figure compares with a historic high of nearly US$65 billion in 2008, before a 15 per cent drop occurred due to the financial crisis of 2009, but seem to indicate that money transfers to the region are slowly increasing as the international economy recovers.

According to the report, the trends in the flow of remittances varied between LAC countries. While remittances to South American countries and Mexico decreased by 1.1 per cent and 1.6 per cent respectively, those to the countries in the Caribbean saw a modest growth.

Central American nations in contrast experienced a significant increase of 6.5 per cent in the total remittances received.

In the case of the Caribbean, the first signs of improvement following the global economic crisis began in 2010 when remittance inflows first began to accelerate with a growth rate of 8.3 per cent.

Growth rate

However, a significant part of this was subsequently attributed to the unusually high volume of transfers received in Haiti following the earthquake there that year. Thereafter, in 2011, the growth rate relative to prior years reached 5.9 per cent, a figure similar to the rest of Latin America.

However, quarter-to-quarter fluctuations in 2012 meant that the region's overall growth rate was just 0.1 per cent, a figure marginally higher than in the previous year.

Although these figures bring together data for all Caribbean nations except Cuba, some nations, most notably the Dominican Republic, experience a significant growth in remittances with an overall rate recorded at 4.8 per cent.

What the figures suggest is that the flows continue to depend on the economic situation in the countries from which remittances are sent.

Their overall value is also affected by the rate of inflation and the exchange rate of the currencies in the two countries concerned. Helpfully, the MIF report looks at this. It suggests that in the Caribbean, average inflation reduced the purchasing power of remittance flows by 4.5 per cent in 2012, and as a joint product of inflation and exchange-rate movements by minus 2.3
per cent in the case of the region.

The report also
shows that in absolute terms, there were a total of US$8.3 billion in
remittances to the Caribbean last year. In the case of the Dominican
Republic, there was a 4.8 per cent growth to a total of US$3.16 billion,
for Jamaica, a rise of 0.6 per cent to US$2.04 billion; and for Haiti, a
3.4 per cent fall to US$2 billion.

The report does
not address the subject of Cuba, presumably for political reasons, but
other figures produced unofficially suggest that remittance transfers
there mainly from the US and Europe, stood at around US$2.06
billion.

This means that the total of cash transfers
through remittances to friends and families - which is to say nothing of
informal goods transfers - stood last year at a staggering total of
US$10.1 billion; a figure that suggests why together with the black
economy, the Caribbean continues to survive.

The
significance of these figures in keeping Caribbean economies afloat is
critical and should not be underestimated. For example, in the case of
Haiti, the sums transferred amounted last year to 25 per cent of GDP; in
Guyana's case, around 17 per cent; for Jamaica, close to 14 per cent;
and for other nations like Belize and the Dominican Republic, somewhere
between 5 and 10 per cent of GDP.

Fraught with
difficulty

One consequence of this is that an
increasing number of Caribbean countries have been trying to encourage
those who remit and receive to consider placing some of the monies they
send to relatives, or other disposable income, in government bonds or
local investments.

This is fraught with difficulty.
For example, Jamaica has been seeking to appeal to its overseas
nationals' patriotism, and has been considering a low-yielding
government bond, in part aimed at its diaspora. However, this has run
into a number of difficulties. Any such bond would add to the
Government's overall debt stock and would require bringing it within the
scope of the island's IMF agreement.

The abiding
sentiment is that few in the diaspora would transfer funds to Jamaica
for patriotic reasons, requiring rather a return higher than is
available to them through bank savings or deposits held
elsewhere.

And it is also far from clear whether the
Government, a bank, or other entities would be willing to undertake the
development of such a relatively high-cost venture or be prepared to
manage it.

There are of course other options which
include, at their most straightforward, the use of Caribbean-owned
money-transfer services with offices and agents overseas able to remit
sums to a bank account linked to a savings
account.

There are also Caribbean mutual funds, or
commercial options outside of the region that work on the basis of
having a portfolio of projects, funds and public-private partnership
opportunities that focus on investing in regions that individuals in the
diaspora may come from, or may care about.

For the
most part, however — as attractive as the huge sums in remittances that
flow to the region are to financial-services companies and government as
a new source of productive investment, or for investing in productive
enterprise — the reality is, as the MIF report shows, remittances first
and foremost are, and always will be, about enabling the lives of
families and friends at home to be lived in a manner that is
decent.

David Jessop is director of the Caribbean
Council. Send feedback to
david.jessop@caribbean-council.org