Sun | Dec 4, 2022

UK central bank intervenes in market to halt economic crisis

Published:Thursday | September 29, 2022 | 12:09 AM
A woman walks past a sign that shows the exchange rate at a bureau de change in London, Tuesday, September 27, 2022.
A woman walks past a sign that shows the exchange rate at a bureau de change in London, Tuesday, September 27, 2022.
A man man passes the Bank of England in London, Wednesday, September 28, 2022.
A man man passes the Bank of England in London, Wednesday, September 28, 2022.
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The Bank of England took emergency action Wednesday to stabilise United Kingdom financial markets and head off a crisis in the broader economy after the government spooked investors with a programme of unfunded tax cuts that sent the pound tumbling and the cost of government debt soaring.

The central bank warned that crumbling confidence in the economy posed a “material risk to UK financial stability,” while the International Monetary Fund took the rare step to urge a member of the Group of Seven advanced economies to abandon its plan to cut taxes and increase borrowing to cover the cost.

The Bank of England said it would buy long-term government bonds over the next two weeks to combat a recent slide in British financial assets. The bank’s actions are focused on long-term government debt, where yields have soared in recent days, pushing up government borrowing costs.

“Were dysfunction in this market to continue or worsen, there would be a material risk to UK financial stability, the bank said in a statement. “This would lead to an unwarranted tightening of financing conditions and a reduction of the flow of credit to the real economy.

The move came five days after Prime Minister Liz Truss’ new government sparked investor concern when it unveiled an economic stimulus programme that included 45 billion (US$48 billion) of tax cuts and no spending reductions. It also wants to spend billions to help shield homes and businesses from soaring energy prices, sparking fears of spiralling government debt and higher inflation, which is already running at a nearly 40-year high of 9.9 er cent.

The British pound plunged to a record low against the US dollar Monday following the government’s announcement, and yields on UK government debt soared. Yields on 10-year government bonds have risen 325 per cent this year, making it much more expensive for the government to borrow to finance its policies.

The Bank of England’s plan to buy government debt helped stabilise the bond market, with 10-year bond yields falling to 4.235 per cent in midday trading in London.

Yields, which measure the return buyers receive on their investment, had risen to 4.504 per cent on Tuesday from 3.495 per cent the day before the tax cuts were announced.

The pound traded at US$1.0628 on Wednesday in London, after rallying from a record low of US$1.0373 on Monday. The British currency is still down 4 per cent since Friday, and it has fallen 20 per cent against the dollar in the past year.

On Monday, the Bank of England had refrained from an emergency interest rate hike to offset the slide in the pound but said it would be willing to raise rates if necessary.

But its next scheduled meeting is not until November, and the lack of immediate action did little to bolster the pound. The bank was able to step in immediately with bond purchases because its Financial Policy Committee has a mandate to ensure the stability of the financial system.

The British government said it has fully underwritten the central bank’s intervention on government bonds, known as gilts.

“The bank has identified a risk from recent dysfunction in gilt markets, so the bank will temporarily carry out purchases of long-dated UK government bonds from today in order to restore orderly market conditions,” the UK Treasury said in a statement.

The UK government has resisted pressure to reverse course but says it will set out a more detailed fiscal plan and independent analysis from the Office for Budget responsibility on November 23.

Kwarteng met Wednesday with executives from investment banks including Bank of America, JP Morgan, Standard Chartered an UBS in a bid to soothe markets alarmed by its economic plans.

The Treasury said Kwarteng underlined the government’s “clear commitment to fiscal discipline” and promised new measures soon to boost economic growth, including deregulation of financial services.

The central bank was spurred to act after volatility in financial markets spilled over into the broader economy.

Some analysts estimate that the recent spike in bond yields has added about 20 billion to the cost of servicing the UK’s ballooning debt.

In addition, British mortgage lenders have pulled hundreds of offers from the market amid expectations the Bank of England will sharply boost interest rates to offset the inflationary impact of the pound’s recent slide.

Market reaction to the government’s plans also has exposed vulnerabilities in UK pension funds. In particular, some defined-benefit pension plans, where employers shoulder the risk of guaranteed payouts for their retirees, have been forced to sell long-term bonds to cover liabilities, creating the potential for a downward spiral in prices.

“The extraordinary intervention came amid growing concern that defined-benefit pension funds were at risk of being hammered by the plunge in the value of the pound and sharp moves in the long-term gilts market,” said Alice Haine, a personal finance analyst at Bestinvest.

AP