Sat | Jun 12, 2021

Analyst predicts PNP landslide at polls

Published:Friday | March 23, 2012 | 12:00 AM

Veteran political analyst Tony Myers is predicting a People's National Party (PNP) blowout over the Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) in the local government elections scheduled for next Monday.

According to Myers, the indications are that the PNP could be in control of most, if not all, of the municipal bodies when the votes are counted come Monday night.

"The final results for the 15th Kingston and St Andrew Corporation (KSAC) and parish council election will be no different from the December 29, 2011 parliamentary general election - a landslide for the governing PNP," said Myers in a letter to the editor.

Myers said, by his checks, the PNP now enjoys a comfortable lead over the JLP in most of the 228 electoral divisions.

Safe divisions

He claimed the PNP has 113 safe electoral divisions to the JLP's 75 with 40 electoral divisions which can be categorised as marginal.

"A careful examination of the 40 marginal electoral divisions gives the PNP enough support to regain control of the KSAC, the St Mary, St James, St Elizabeth and St Catherine parish councils," said Myers.

"The four parish councils, namely St Ann, Hanover, Westmoreland and Manchester, which were won by the PNP on December 5, 2007 will once again be retained by the said party," added Myers.

He said the only two parish councils which do not seem certain for the PNP are St Thomas and Clarendon which could both end up in a tie.

"However, the St Thomas Parish Council seems likely to go to the PNP but only just," Myers concluded.