Looking ahead for 2025

As 2025 commences, Jamaica finds itself at a critical juncture in its journey toward Vision 2030 – an ambitious national development plan that aspires to make the island the place of choice to live, work, raise families, and do business.

Introduced in 2009, Vision 2030 has been the guiding framework for transforming Jamaica into a developed nation by the end of this decade.

Recently, Prime Minister Dr Andrew Holness announced that some aspects of Vision 2030 will face delays, underscoring the immense challenges the country continues to navigate. However, this announcement should not deter us from concentrating our collective efforts on this critical endeavour. Instead, it should serve as a rallying call to redouble our commitment to the goals set out in the plan, recognising that progress, even if delayed, remains vital to the nation’s future.

While significant progress has been made, with approximately 60 per cent of the plan’s targets reportedly on track, the sobering reality is that the country may fall short of achieving 100 per cent of its objectives.

Challenges such as economic shocks, social inequality, inadequate infrastructure, and the persistent threat of climate change have slowed the pace of progress. However, these obstacles are not insurmountable, and, with strategic interventions, Jamaica can capitalise on opportunities to accelerate its development.

EDUCATION, HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT

Education has always been central to Jamaica’s progress, underpinning both economic growth and social mobility. Vision 2030 emphasises the need for an educated and skilled workforce capable of meeting the demands of a modern economy. Yet, challenges such as low tertiary enrolment rates and disparities in access to quality education persist. As of 2023, only 28 per cent of eligible students are enrolled in tertiary institutions, a rate insufficient to meet the country’s developmental needs.

For 2025, Jamaica should aim to increase tertiary enrolment to at least 40 per cent. This requires not only expanding access to scholarships and affordable student loans but also aligning educational curricula with the demands of the labour market. For example, industries such as technology, renewable energy, and creative arts are growing rapidly, yet there is a skills gap in these areas. Incorporating STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) education into primary and secondary schools and promoting technical and vocational education can help address this gap.

Additionally, teacher training and retention are critical. Rural and underserved areas often suffer from a shortage of qualified educators, further exacerbating educational inequality. By investing in teacher training programmes and offering incentives such as housing subsidies and professional development opportunities, Jamaica can ensure that all students, regardless of location, have access to quality education.

STRENGTHENING SOCIAL PROTECTION SYSTEMS

Jamaica’s social protection framework has been instrumental in supporting vulnerable populations, but poverty and inequality remain pressing issues. With nearly 19 per cent of Jamaicans living below the poverty line, addressing these disparities is essential for achieving Vision 2030. Initiatives such as the Programme of Advancement Through Health and Education (PATH) have provided critical support to low-income families, but these initiatives need to be scaled up to have a broader impact.

In 2025, the goal should be to reduce the poverty rate to under 15 per cent. Expanding PATH to include more beneficiaries, particularly in rural areas, can help achieve this.

Additionally, improving access to affordable housing through initiatives by the National Housing Trust (NHT) and other agencies can significantly enhance living conditions. For example, projects like the Bernard Lodge development in St Catherine demonstrate how strategic partnerships can provide affordable homes while creating jobs and stimulating economic activity.

Healthcare is another vital component of social protection. While Jamaica’s healthcare system has made strides in areas such as maternal health and vaccination, issues such as long wait times and limited access to specialist care persist. Expanding community health centres and implementing telemedicine services can bridge these gaps, particularly in remote areas.

ECONOMIC STABILITY AND GROWTH

Economic growth is the foundation of a prosperous society, and Jamaica’s macroeconomic stability in recent years has been commendable. Debt-to-GDP ratios have declined, inflation has been kept in check, and the country has seen steady GDP growth. However, growth must be inclusive and sustainable to ensure that all Jamaicans benefit.

For 2025, the country should aim for an annual GDP growth rate of at least four per cent, driven by strategic investments in sectors such as tourism, agriculture, and manufacturing.

For instance, Jamaica’s tourism sector, a significant contributor to GDP, has rebounded strongly after the COVID-19 pandemic. Diversifying the tourism product to include eco-tourism, heritage tourism, and adventure tourism can attract new markets and generate additional revenue.

Similarly, agriculture remains a vital sector, but its potential is undermined by outdated practices and vulnerability to climate change. Investments in climate-resilient farming techniques and value-added processing, such as turning raw cocoa into chocolate for export, can increase productivity and income.

Reducing unemployment, particularly among youth, is another critical target. Programmes such as the HOPE initiative and HEART/NSTA Trust have been effective in providing training and employment opportunities, but these efforts need to be expanded. Collaboration with the private sector to create internship and apprenticeship programmes can help young people gain the skills and experience needed for the job market.

PUBLIC SAFETY AND JUSTICE

Public safety is a prerequisite for development, yet crime and violence continue to plague Jamaica. The high murder rate, driven by gang violence and socio-economic inequality, remains a significant challenge. To create a safe and just society, Jamaica must prioritise crime reduction and judicial efficiency.

In 2025, the goal should be to reduce major crimes by at least 25 per cent. This requires a multi-faceted approach, including enhancing the capabilities of law enforcement, investing in technology such as surveillance systems, and expanding community policing initiatives.

Successful programmes like the Zones of Special Operations (ZOSOs) have demonstrated the effectiveness of combining security measures with social interventions, and these should be replicated in more communities.

Judicial efficiency is equally important. The backlog of cases in Jamaica’s courts undermines public confidence in the justice system. Implementing electronic case management systems and increasing the number of judges and courtrooms can significantly reduce delays.

ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY

Jamaica’s natural environment is both a treasure and a cornerstone of its economy. From lush forests to pristine beaches, the island’s ecosystems support tourism, agriculture, and fisheries. However, climate change, deforestation, and pollution threaten these resources.

In 2025, Jamaica should aim to reduce carbon emissions by 20 per cent, expand protected areas to 25 per cent of the island, and cut plastic waste by 50 per cent.

Transitioning to renewable energy is critical. Projects like the Wigton Windfarm and investments in solar power have shown promise, but greater adoption of renewable energy across industries and households is needed. Encouraging businesses and homeowners to install solar panels through tax incentives can accelerate this shift.

Improving waste management is another priority. Recycling programmes and public awareness campaigns can reduce pollution and promote sustainable practices. For example, the Plastic Waste Minimization Project has already made strides in reducing single-use plastics, and similar initiatives can be scaled up.

INFRASTRUCTURE AND TECHNOLOGY

Modern infrastructure and technology are essential for economic competitiveness and quality of life. However, inadequate infrastructure, particularly in transportation and digital connectivity, remains a barrier to development.

By 2025, Jamaica should achieve 90 per cent broadband penetration to ensure that all citizens, including those in rural areas, have access to the digital economy. Expanding high-speed internet coverage can enable remote work, online education, and e-commerce, creating new opportunities for growth. Initiatives like the Universal Service Fund’s Community Wi-Fi programme are steps in the right direction, but more investment is needed.

Upgrading transportation infrastructure is also crucial. Projects such as the Southern Coastal Highway Improvement Project are transforming connectivity across the island, but similar investments are needed in public transit and urban planning. Developing smart city initiatives in urban areas can optimise resources and improve services, making cities more livable and efficient.

While the government plays a leading role in achieving Vision 2030, every Jamaican has a part to play. Citizens can contribute by participating in community development projects, advocating for policies that align with national goals, and adopting sustainable practices in their daily lives. Businesses, too, have a responsibility to invest in their communities and operate sustainably.

As Jamaica looks ahead in 2025, the nation has an opportunity to accelerate its progress toward Vision 2030. While some aspects may be delayed, this does not diminish the importance of achieving the overarching vision. Achieving Vision 2030 will require unity, determination, and a shared commitment to a brighter future.

With five years to go, the time for action is now. Let us work together to fulfill the promise of Vision 2030 for ourselves and future generations.

Leroy Fearon is the acting dean, Faculty of Education, The Mico University College, author and researcher. Email feedback to: leroyfearon85@gmail.com and editorial@gleanerjm.com